Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000595 0.000685 0.000781 0.000890 0.001010 0.001139 0.001286
2025-05-18 0.000461 0.000585 0.000728 0.000901 0.001106 0.001336 0.001615
2025-05-25 0.000386 0.000525 0.000692 0.000904 0.001164 0.001469 0.001850
2025-06-01 0.000315 0.000458 0.000637 0.000875 0.001177 0.001542 0.002011
2025-06-08 0.000261 0.000404 0.000591 0.000848 0.001185 0.001604 0.002155
2025-06-15 0.000227 0.000371 0.000567 0.000846 0.001221 0.001697 0.002337
2025-06-22 0.000198 0.000343 0.000546 0.000844 0.001255 0.001788 0.002516
2025-06-29 0.000172 0.000314 0.000521 0.000833 0.001274 0.001858 0.002669
2025-07-06 0.000148 0.000286 0.000494 0.000817 0.001284 0.001913 0.002802
2025-07-13 0.000137 0.000275 0.000492 0.000836 0.001342 0.002035 0.003026
2025-07-20 0.000125 0.000263 0.000487 0.000849 0.001391 0.002144 0.003234
2025-07-27 0.000110 0.000244 0.000468 0.000839 0.001406 0.002206 0.003379
2025-08-03 0.000095 0.000223 0.000444 0.000822 0.001410 0.002254 0.003506
2025-08-10 0.000087 0.000214 0.000440 0.000833 0.001457 0.002363 0.003723
2025-08-17 0.000078 0.000202 0.000430 0.000836 0.001490 0.002453 0.003912
2025-08-24 0.000066 0.000182 0.000403 0.000808 0.001475 0.002471 0.003999
2025-08-31 0.000056 0.000164 0.000379 0.000783 0.001461 0.002489 0.004086
2025-09-07 0.000049 0.000154 0.000369 0.000781 0.001484 0.002562 0.004253
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000145 0.000359 0.000779 0.001507 0.002636 0.004422
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000135 0.000346 0.000769 0.001515 0.002686 0.004558
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000124 0.000330 0.000754 0.001514 0.002722 0.004671
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000121 0.000332 0.000772 0.001569 0.002846 0.004921
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000118 0.000331 0.000783 0.001614 0.002956 0.005149